1
 From the Sept. 30-Oct. 4 issue of The Economist:
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 What defeated General Aoun was not only the weight of the Syrian army.
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 The weight of Lebanon's history was also against him; 
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and it is a history 
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Israel is in danger 
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of repeating.
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 Like Lebanon, and however unfairly, Israel is regarded by the Arab world as a colonial aberration.
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 Its best hope of acceptance by its neighbours lies in reaching a settlement with the Palestinians.
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 Like Lebanon, Israel is being remade by demography.
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 In Greater Israel more than half the children under six are Muslims.
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 Within 25 years Jews will probably be the minority.
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 Yet Israel will neither share power with all these Arabs 
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nor,
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 says its present prime minister, 
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redraw its borders closer to its pre-1967 Jewish heartland.
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 By not choosing one of these options, 
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Israelis will condemn themselves, 
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as the Maronites did,
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 to perpetual war with the Muslims in their midst, and so to the internal erosion of their state.
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 Unlike the Maronites, Israel's Jews will not let themselves become the weakest force in a system of private armies; 
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Jerusalem will become Belfast 
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before it becomes Beirut.
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 But that is not much of a consolation 
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to draw from the failure of General Aoun.
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